What Will Trump Do?

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What will Trump do on Day 1 of being President?

80%

Terminate federal funding for gender affirming care

61%

Pardon at least 1 J6 participant

53%

Grant Keystone XL Permit

49%

Reinstate Mexico City policy

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What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?

21%

NIH -25% funded in any year vs. 2024 (inflation-adjusted)

9%

Trump supports mask or glove mandate anywhere in the US

43%

H5N1 Public Health Emergency of International Concern declared

5%

A sex tape comes out that shows Trump thrusting energetically

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What will Trump's first executive order be about?

74%

Immigration/The Border

5%

Government/Regulations/Elections

4%

Tariffs/Foreign Trade

3%

Pardons/January 6th

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Will Donald Trump repay Elon Musk's backing in good faith?83% chance

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Trump impose large tariffs in first year?65% chance

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Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?38% chance

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If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?68% chance

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If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?84% chance

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Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?35% chance

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When will Trump serve time?

91%

Never

0%

2023 (NO)

0.9%

2024

2%

2025

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What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?

99.0%

Hitler

99.0%

Mexicans

98.9%

Gay / Gays

98.7%

Mars

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