Deepseek

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Premium
Will DeepSeek go on Dwarkesh Podcast in 2025?20% chance
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Plus
Will r1 or v3 cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?5% chance
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Plus
Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek R1 on the chatbot leaderboard?98% chance
Basic
Will DeepSeek remain available on US iOS App Store until January 1, 2026? (no ban or removal)78% chance
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Plus
When will DeepSeek release R2?
1%
Before February 2025
18%
Before March 2025
27%
Before April 2025
42%
Before May 2025
See 7 more answers
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Plus
Will ANY DeepSeek model cause or materially enable a catastrophic risk by 2027?12% chance
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