Guys you are way too conservative if you don't think they're going to share R2 in the next 3 months. Each of their runs took a week. And now they have even more compute. They'll have another model ready in a month at the rate they're going.

@JCl You have to look at this question as well:https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

Yes very probable to have a new Deepseek model in the next few months but it might not be called R2.

what if it's called R3? (R2 is a well-known Disney character)

@jim right i forgot to add to the description that slight deviations in naming are fine

@Bayesian what if it's called Maltesers

actually nvm i don't buy it, it has to be named R2 and R2 only gosh darnit

@Bayesian ok, u might want to clean up the AI annotations

what if its called R2D2

@jim I don't see it. the AIs fear me so don't annotate

oh i was editing description which made the manifold ai edit disappear. get rekt

@Bayesian nvm i liked its edit more than what i came up with i'll plagiarize

@Bayesian it's like one year until we're all fully obsolete

@jim some of us are already obsolete

@Bayesian name names

hey that would be rude