When will Meta release Llama 5?
11
Ṁ27092026
1%
Before August 2025
7%
Before September 2025
8%
Before October 2025
12%
Before November 2025
19%
Before December 2025
24%
Before January 2026
27%
Before February 2026
34%
Before March 2026
39%
Before April 2026
44%
Before May 2026
50%
Before June 2026
51%
Before July 2026
57%
Before August 2026
Minor changes to the name, such as using "Llama 5 Mini" or "Llama 5.0", will count for the purpose of this market
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Llama 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups.
See also:
/Bayesian/when-will-google-release-gemini-3
/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6
/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4
/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp (this market)
/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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