When will DeepSeek release V4?
Plus
16
Ṁ15002026
10%
Before March 2025
22%
Before April 2025
36%
Before May 2025
61%
Before June 2025
66%
Before July 2025
69%
Before August 2025
69%
Before September 2025
72%
Before October 2025
76%
Before November 2025
92%
Before December 2025
Minor changes to the name, such as using "V5" instead of "V4", are acceptable when determining the release.
To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside DeepSeek. if it's banned in the US but releases in China this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.
See also:
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-announce-o4
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt45-ULpyUuqd2L
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-an-open-so
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4 (this market)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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