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AI 2025
Bayesian
What will happen in AI in 2025?
Austin
Crystal
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
84%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2789
Ṁ100k
Manifold
Premium
What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?
2%
0% - 35%
Yes
No
Open options
2%
35 - 40%
Yes
No
Open options
4%
40 - 45%
Yes
No
Open options
5%
45 - 50%
Yes
No
Open options
See 2 more answers
63
Ṁ10k
Bayesian
Premium
What will be the best AI performance on Humanity's Last Exam by December 31st 2025?
1%
0-10%
Yes
No
Open options
4%
10-20%
Yes
No
Open options
11%
20-30%
Yes
No
Open options
19%
30-40%
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
56
Ṁ15k
Bayesian
Plus
Top score on codeforces by an AI model at the end of 2025
1.3%
<2750 (OpenAI's o3 at 2727)
Yes
No
Open options
2%
2750-3000
Yes
No
Open options
2%
3000-3250
Yes
No
Open options
5%
3250-3500
Yes
No
Open options
See 3 more answers
27
Ṁ1000
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