MANIFOLD
Browse
News
About
App
Add funds
(Sale 64% off)
Sign up
Get
1,000
and
3.00
Dark
Light
(auto)
Sign in
What Will Trump Do?
Bitcoin
Ding v. Gukesh
TIME PotY
Cabinet
Glicked 🏟️🧹
2028 Election
Israel
OpenAI
US Congress
AGI Timelines
Biden
Taylor Swift
Elon/Tesla
Sama Drama
AI Math
Fed Rates
Nvidia
Twitter
ACX 2024
One Piece
Music AI Race
Hard Forkasts
Cabinet
Joshua
Calvin
Premium
Who will be a member of the next Cabinet of the United States
6%
Elon Musk
Yes
No
Open options
61%
Pete Hegseth
Yes
No
Open options
72%
RFK Jr
Yes
No
Open options
55%
Tulsi Gabbard
Yes
No
Open options
See 23 more answers
271
Ṁ80k
Savior of Plant
Plus
Will Trump adjourn the Senate through Article II, Section 3, and then recess-appoint a Cabinet member?
20%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
26
Ṁ1500
Nicola Wilson
Plus
Who will be Donald Trump’s Secretary of the Treasury?
98.2%
Scott Bessent
Yes
No
Open options
0.6%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
0.3%
Marc Rowan
Yes
No
Open options
0.3%
Kevin Warsh
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
46
Ṁ1200
Nicola Wilson
Plus
Who will be Donald Trump’s Attorney General?
96%
Pam Bondi
Yes
No
Open options
1.6%
Mike Lee
Yes
No
Open options
0.6%
Jeff Clark
Yes
No
Open options
0.5%
Todd Blanche
Yes
No
Open options
See 5 more answers
97
Ṁ1500
Aaron Simansky
Plus
Who will be nominated to the next president's cabinet? [Add Answers]
93%
RFK Jr.
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Elon Musk
Yes
No
Open options
90%
Tulsi Gabbard
Yes
No
Open options
2%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
See 27 more answers
108
Ṁ3400
Richard Hanania
Plus
Will Trump win and nominate RFK to a cabinet position?
95%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
507
Ṁ6000
Manifold Politics
Premium
Who will be Trump's Secretary of State?
98.8%
Marco Rubio (VP Finalist)
Yes
No
Open options
0.3%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
Richard Grenell (Second Acting Director of National Intelligence)
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
Bill Hagerty (Senator, former ambassador)
Yes
No
Open options
See 22 more answers
83
Ṁ26k
Richard Hanania
Plus
Trump nominates Musk to cabinet?
6%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
115
Ṁ1000
Marnix
Plus
Who will serve in Donald Trump's cabinet in his first year?
93%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Mike Lindell
Yes
No
Open options
10%
Eric Adams
Yes
No
Open options
85%
Linda McMahon
Yes
No
Open options
See 39 more answers
102
Ṁ4530
Timothy Johnson
Plus
If Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will RFK be confirmed for a cabinet position within six months?
79%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
61
Ṁ1000
Nicola Wilson
Plus
Who will have an official position in the new Trump administration? (Add Answers)
97%
Howard Lutnick
Yes
No
Open options
97%
Linda McMahon
Yes
No
Open options
97%
Stephen Miller
Yes
No
Open options
96%
Elise Stefanik
Yes
No
Open options
See 40 more answers
72
Ṁ4400
chris (strutheo)
Plus
Will Elon Musk be given a Cabinet position by the end of June 2025?
5%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
78
Ṁ1000
Conflux
Plus
Will Trump actually nominate a Libertarian to his Cabinet if elected?
75%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
48
Ṁ1000
© Manifold Markets, Inc.
•
Terms
+
Mana-only Terms
•
Privacy
•
Rules
Browse
Election
News
About
Sign in