What will Trump's first executive order be about?
➕
Plus
49
Ṁ3570
Feb 1
74%
Immigration/The Border
5%
Government/Regulations/Elections
4%
Tariffs/Foreign Trade
3%
Pardons/January 6th
3%
Foreign Policy
2%
Other
1.9%
Inflation/Economy
1.8%
Climate Change/The Environment
1.6%
LGBT Rights

Resolves based on my subjective opinion, to the most applicable option. If multiple options are clearly applicable (eg. "This order adds tariffs and withdraws the US from NATO", it resolves to the options equally). If you would like to add more options, feel free to suggest.

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The Department of Governmental Efficiency would fall under this answer

@Gabrielle does this include leaving WHO or Climate Process?

@ChrisMillsc5f7 If it was just about the WHO, it would be 50% healthcare, 50% foreign policy. Withdrawing from the Paris Agreement would be 100% Climate Change/The Environment (a new category).

bought Ṁ50 YES

It's not a perfect arb for a few reasons, but I think there might be something here: https://manifold.markets/Ziddletwix/will-trumps-first-executive-order-b

@Fion yes beyond "subjective judgment differs" b/w me & gabrielle i'd say the only real difference is that gabrielle's market could potentially spslit its resolutions between options if it's sufficiently broad so should probably trade a bit below mine

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