If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms? | Manifold

If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?

13

𝕊126

2026

75%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The main example would be Biden's AI executive order in 2023.

Democrats have generally seemed more concerned with regulating AI. At the same time, AI wasn't nearly as big of an issue while Trump was president.

The legislation would have to become law to count, not just introduced.

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What Will Trump Do?

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Conditional on Biden/Trump

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Do riders or bill amendments count?

@thepurplebull Probably not, it would need to be primarily focused on AI. I can run a poll if there's an edge case.

Would a repeal of Biden's executive order count?

@noaht2 That would have to be through a 2nd executive order right? If so, yeah I would count it.

bought Ṁ10 YES from 49% to 51%

bought Ṁ500 YES

@NathanScott Seems likely, then: https://arstechnica.com/ai/2024/11/trump-victory-signals-major-shakeup-for-us-ai-regulations/

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