Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
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Within a year of the election, will Trump publicly disparage Elon Musk?

This could be for any reason, provoked or otherwise. Things like belittling nicknames and personal insults would count, or "I never liked him anyway" type statements.

As this might be somewhat subjective, I won't trade.

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22h

55 mins ago: ELON MUSK MADE DIRECT APPEALS TO TRUMP TO REVERSE TARIFFS PER WASHINGTON POST. https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/04/07/musk-trump-tariffs/

15h

@bobhenry First time I've ever seen anyone refer to Milton Friedman as "conservative".

bought Ṁ50 NO1d

Trump has already placed a lot of reputational stock in his support of Musk (enabling DOGE, Special Advisor status, hosting him in the Oval Office, publicly supporting Tesla...). With Musk's money and Trump's political power, their relationship is mutually beneficial and I don't see either one disparaging the other this early in the new administration.

1d

Define "the election". Trump has been in three elections (not including primaries).

bought Ṁ500 NO6d

Personally I think if he leaves soon without it happening the probability becomes much much less likely: https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/04/02/trump-musk-leaving-political-liability-00265784

6d

@Balasar Seems like it's going to be an amicable breakup

6d

@TimothyBandors "The president is pleased with Elon Musk, but the decision comes as the tech mogul increasingly looks like a political liability." I'll be the first to say I will be shocked if this resolves NO but its looking like its headed that way.

opened a Ṁ9,000 NO at 28% order1mo

Nah

1mo

1mo

@skibidist lolololol

1mo

@skibidist the president never lies in ALL CAPS. It's cruise control for TRUTH.

1mo

@MartinRandall the funniest part about this is that barely anyone was talking about what the Cabinet thinks about Musk. By tweeting this he basically confirmed that at least a couple of people are already tired of his BS.

1mo

Some thoughts from the high human capital guru

sold Ṁ321 YES1mo

@skibidist paywall, but I’ve just been thinking about how Trump ends up fighting with EVERYBODY. In retrospect, it’s really insane that Trump broke up with his 1st term VP. But because it’s Trump we don’t really think about it.

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 42% order1mo

Regardless of your politics, I think we can all agree these are fantastic odds, so do fill my order

lol. 6 months left ⏱️

All Yes buyers please sign at your earliest convenience:

1mo

@elf six months until what?

@JimAusman oops, miscalculated the market end date

1mo
1mo

No, Musk owns him. Watch the interview from today, he would never let anyone else do that.

bought Ṁ500 NO from 41% to 38% 1mo
1mo

@Predictor can you link the interview?

filled a Ṁ500 NO at 28% order1mo

He's got him. This is more than owing money. Something is amiss. We're venturing into Secret Life territory.

1mo

@Predictor thanks!

@Predictor restored democracy is when all powers are in Elon’s hands.

1mo

@JaimeSantaCruz I, uh... I don't think that word means what you think it means? 😅

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