When will OpenAI release Sora 2?
16
Ṁ12k
resolved Sep 30
Resolved
NO
Before September 2025
Resolved
YES
Before October 2025
Resolved
YES
Before November 2025
Resolved
YES
Before December 2025
Resolved
YES
Before January 2026
Resolved
YES
Before February 2026
Resolved
YES
Before March 2026
Resolved
YES
Before April 2026

Sora 2 refers to a video generation AI model generally expected to be called Sora 2. It would be the next major iteration of the Sora series of model by OpenAI.


To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside OpenAI, and be officially announced. If it's banned in some country, this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this also counts as a release. If it's available to some users on an official OpenAI website, this is also sufficient.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-google-release-gemini-3

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6

/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp

/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-a-browser

/Bayesian/when-will-tesla-launch-unsupervised

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-sora-2 (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc

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@Bayesian Sora 2 out today, it's own iOS app

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