When will OpenAI release Sora 2?
8
Ṁ1687
2026
4%
Before September 2025
20%
Before October 2025
35%
Before November 2025
68%
Before December 2025
73%
Before January 2026
82%
Before February 2026
71%
Before March 2026
79%
Before April 2026

Sora 2 refers to a video generation AI model generally expected to be called Sora 2. It would be the next major iteration of the Sora series of model by OpenAI.


To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside OpenAI, and be officially announced. If it's banned in some country, this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this also counts as a release. If it's available to some users on an official OpenAI website, this is also sufficient.

See also:

/Bayesian/when-will-google-release-gemini-3

/Bayesian/when-will-xai-release-grok-5

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt6

/Bayesian/when-will-anthropic-release-claude-qZd5QEQ225

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2

/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4

/Bayesian/when-will-meta-release-llama-5-6h9UypqOdp

/Bayesian/when-will-alibaba-release-qwen-4

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-their-next

/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-sora-2 (this market)

/Bayesian/when-will-thinking-machines-announc

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules