Disney-OpenAI deal goes through so that Sora 2 is used by Disney (in 2025)?
13
Ṁ867
resolved Dec 12
Resolved
YES

Market resolves YES if a disney-openai deal is signed that is related to use of video gen or image gen models from openai for disney related movie, film or animation creation or design. If the deal is explicitly about use of text-based models that don't generate images or videos, this is not sufficient for a yes resolution, but if there's indication that the deal is somewhat about video gen capabilities, that is sufficient even if this fact is not officially confirmed.

Resolves NO otherwise at the end of 2025.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 YES

I think any statments would lean in the direction of vagueness, so them explicitly mentioning production makes me feel this can resolve YES @Bayesian ?

https://x.com/i/status/1999133887759286501

You should sell your yes if this is what you have for evidence. "We've been in some interesting conversations", and "we'll be able to reach some sort of agreement."

That seems to show that they haven't signed a deal yet.

too busy currently to look into this but dont assume i lean a certain way from inaction just gonna take me a bit

Nvm. The article at the very top is pretty clear about it

@comicstosteal Yeah haha I actually did a horrible job of selecting that particular tweet, much more vague than the rest of it. I think the press statement is very explicit that I) There's a signed agreement, II) It explicitly mentions Sora and video animation/gen (i.e. not just ChatGPT).

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules