Will Llama 4 be the best LLM in the chatbot arena?
Basic
4
Ṁ1502026
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if it’s #1 on https://chat.lmsys.org .
Ties for first place will resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
What organization(s) will be ranked #1 in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of December 2024?
Who will have the best Non-Tool Enabled LLM by the end of 2024 according to Chatbot arena?
Will ChatGPT or Bing be the most popular LLM chatbot at the end of 2024?
76% chance
Will I think that the top Chatbot Arena scores accurately reflect which LLMs are most capable and useful at EOY 2024?
45% chance
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Will OpenAI have the best LLM in 2024?
71% chance
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena Ranks)?
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Will any LLM outrank GPT-4 by 150 Elo in LMSYS chatbot arena before 2025?
12% chance