Will Llama 4 be the best LLM in the chatbot arena? | Manifold

Will Llama 4 be the best LLM in the chatbot arena?

Basic

16

Ṁ1100

2026

9%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if it’s #1 on https://chat.lmsys.org .

Ties for first place will resolve YES.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Chatbot Arena Leaderboard

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Which one? Behemoth is still in training.

@Haiku I’ll wait for it to finish training, and resolve the market then.

https://x.com/testingcatalog/status/1893576449698771269

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