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Remaking this question from @Soli so that it is sweepstakes-compatible.
Resolves to the company with the #1 model with the highest ELO rating at the end of 2025 (Dec 31st 11:59 pst) on ChatBot Arena.
If one of the companies/models is acquired before the end of the year it will resolve to the original company associated with that model.
The sweepstakes market for this question has been resolved to partial as we are shutting down sweepstakes. Please read the full announcement here. The mana market will continue as usual.
Only markets closing before March 3rd will be left open for trading and will be resolved as usual.
Users will be able to cashout or donate their entire sweepcash balance, regardless of whether it has been won in a sweepstakes or not, by March 28th (for amounts above our minimum threshold of $25).
https://www.reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/s/VVJo2E38iI
Claims of intentional manipulation in favor of Gemini to help win Polymarket bets