Will there be a new pope elected by the 17th of December 2024?
Plus
53
Ṁ7435Dec 16
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Pope Francis is 86 years old at the moment and would be 88 years old on the 17th of December 2024. He seems to be in good health exept impaired mobility coused by pain in his right knee.
Resolves YES if a new pope is elected by the 17th of December 2024. NO if the succesor of pope Francis has not been by the 17th of December 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Pope Francis (Jorge M. Bergoglio) still be Pope on Dec 31, 2024?
90% chance
A new pope for the Catholic Church in 2024?
8% chance
When will a new Catholic pope be elected after Francis?
Will the Pope survive 2024?
95% chance
On which continent will the next Pope be born?
Will Cardinal Christophe Pierre be apostolic nuncio to the United States at the end of 2024?
32% chance
Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
24% chance
On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born?
Will Joe Biden and Pope Francis meet in person in year 2024?
21% chance
Will Pope Francis be alive through the end of 2025?
69% chance