Will the Pope survive 2024? | Manifold

Will the Pope survive 2024?

Plus

33

Ṁ2612

Jan 1

95%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

This is strictly about his longevity, right? It still counts if he abdicates, I suppose?

@BrunoParga No I can update to clarify. It’s about his death not the end of his papacy.

predictedYES

@BTE Abdications are fashionable these days - Queen Margaret of Denmark just abdicated.

Related questions

Will Pope Francis be alive through the end of 2025?

Will Pope Francis die in office?

Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?

Will Joe Biden and Pope Francis meet in person in year 2024?

Will Pope Francis abdicate before 2025?

Will Pope Francis (Jorge M. Bergoglio) still be Pope on Dec 31, 2024?

Will there be a new pope elected by the 17th of December 2024?

A new pope for the Catholic Church in 2024?

Will Pope Francis be alive through the end of 2040?

Will Rupert Murdoch survive 2024?

Related questions

Will Pope Francis be alive through the end of 2025?

Will Pope Francis (Jorge M. Bergoglio) still be Pope on Dec 31, 2024?

Will Pope Francis die in office?

Will there be a new pope elected by the 17th of December 2024?

Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?

A new pope for the Catholic Church in 2024?

Will Joe Biden and Pope Francis meet in person in year 2024?

Will Pope Francis be alive through the end of 2040?

Will Pope Francis abdicate before 2025?

Will Rupert Murdoch survive 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules