What will happen in 2024? [Movies & Series Edition πŸŽ₯ ]
Basic
42
αΉ€11k
Dec 31
98%
Gladiator Sequel Will Be Better Than Joker: Folie Γ  Deux (IMDB score)
80%
3 Movies with $1Bn+ Worldwide Box Office
63%
An actor gets killed on a movie set
45%
'Dune: Part 3' gets official release year
41%
It will be revealed that Tomm Moore is directing a new movie
28%
At the end of the year "The War of the Rohirrim" has a <6.0 score on IMDB
23%
'Dune: Prophecy' achieves a score of 80%+ on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after it's premiere.
19%
Mickey 17 gets delayed again (release later than January 2025)
16%
Disclaimer gets a 80+% on Rotten Tomatoes after the first season
14%
Horizon: An American Saga, Chapter 2 is released in US cinemas
13%
Mufasa: The Lion King Will Be The Highest-Grossing Film in their first 4 weeks after release
10%
Plans for a 'Birth of a Nation' cinematic re-release, remaster, remake, reboot, sequel, or prequel are officially announced
6%
A legal case involving a movie or show is heard by the US Supreme Court
Resolved
YES
Season 4 of 'Only Murders in the Building' is released (at least one episode)
Resolved
YES
Christopher Nolan announced a new film as director.
Resolved
YES
'Speak No Evil' remake gets better IMBD score than 2022 original (1 month after release)
Resolved
YES
'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' achieves a score of 80%+ on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after its release.
Resolved
YES
'3 Body Problem' achieves a score of 80%(+) on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after it's release.
Resolved
YES
'Deadpool & Wolverine' grosses $1Bn worldwide
Resolved
YES
Deadpool 3 Will Become Highest-Grossing R-Rated Movie Ever

Feel free to add answers :)

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  • All resolutions require proof posted as a comment for me to resolve.

  • Make your answer submissions as clear and descriptive as possible. I reserve the right to rephrase answers as needed.

  • Please keep self-referential answers like 'will this market reach X answers' to a minimum, although I might personally add a few

  • Needs to be linked to the entertainment industrie (movies, series, actors etc.)

  • Celebrity should be avoided as a term if possible unless qualified or defined

  • If celebrity or another ambiguous term must be used, and the details aren't sufficient, the Manifold community will be polled to determine the resolution of those questions.

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@TheWabiSabi How did this already resolve

bought αΉ€50 NO

@Ziddletwix is at 7,7 at IMDB and there is no clear date with this. I can unresolve if it's too quickly?

@TheWabiSabi @mods can you unresolve?

Let's wait till 1ste of Dec?

@TheWabiSabi that works! yeah gladiator 2 hasn't released yet, it hasn't even dropped its critical review embargo. if there are actual ratings on IDMB, those are most likely spam. anytime at least a bit after release seems fair, dec 1 works

@Ziddletwix fair, and thank you for correcting me here, just wanted not be late this time :p

done

sold αΉ€0 NO

@mattyb resolved

bought αΉ€214 YES

@TheWabiSabi this happened

@mattyb resolved

bought αΉ€212 YES

@TheWabiSabi this happened

@mattyb resolved

bought αΉ€494 NO

Season 2 of House of the Dragon ended this Sunday, the question about that should be resolved.

bought αΉ€422 NO

Done!

bought αΉ€369 YES

@TheWabiSabi it's one month after release, resolves YES

Yes, you are quick ;)

@TheWabiSabi really close at the moment 8.1 vs 8.0

bought αΉ€50 NO

@TheWabiSabi resolves NO. it's may 7th, and the audience score is 40%

is this "exactly 1 movie"? or if 2 movies gross >$1B, does that resolve YES as well?

bought αΉ€20 NO

The studio is aiming for $20M opening weekend and opening weekend should be well over 20% of total. Even if this was $100M I would bet no

bought αΉ€20 NO

@CharlieBauer easy bet

bought αΉ€20 NO

Is this worldwide? (And I assume "by the end of its box office run", not "within 2024"?)

@Ziddletwix updated the name

@TheWabiSabi Ok got it re: worldwide, but is this "in 2024" or "released in 2024"? Mufasa releases at the end of 2024, so much of its gross will occur in 2025.

@Ziddletwix could change it to 'in the first month after release'. Maybe that better?

@TheWabiSabi Up to you!

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