I wonder when or if Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a serious, substantial, and prolonged public falling out. This means they engage in significant negative exchanges lasting over a couple of weeks, involving multiple substantial criticisms of each other on major issues—not just minor disagreements or single-issue disputes. Light-hearted remarks, minor critiques, or respectful criticism of some decisions while still maintaining their relationship don’t count. It has to be somewhat personal.
I won’t be betting on this market.
Taking 26-28 on a "lose mid terms blame game starts" theory of what causes the break up.
Potential friction here, https://fortune.com/2024/12/27/trump-maga-base-clashes-with-elon-musk-broligarchs-h1b-visas/
@JesWolfe True, your question inspired this market: Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?30%