Will Musk and Trump fall out before the following dates (either unambiguously insults the other 3 times)
Plus
45
Ṁ80502028
1%
Inauguration day
19%
2025 Jul 1st
38%
2026 Jan 1st
48%
2027 Jan 1st
65%
2028 Jan 1st
68%
2028 Election day
37%
Not before any of these.
Will the either of them unambiguously insult the other. The insult must be attempting to insult (as opposed to sarcasm etc). Both insulting the other twice doesn't count.
Resolves to the date of the third insult.
Insults according to credible sources.
Cannot be "he can be an idiot but [positive statement]"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
37% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?
34% chance
Will Elon & Trump have a major falling out within 45 days of the inauguration?
4% chance
Will Musk still be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?
73% chance
Musk and Tump will fall out by end of 2025
48% chance
Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a falling out and start publicly criticizing one another by 2028
78% chance
When will Trump and Elon “break up” / have a serious public falling out?
3. Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a messy falling-out. This will have meaningful consequences for the world of AI.
37% chance
Musk and Trump no longer besties by Q2 2026?
47% chance
Will Elon Musk publicly criticizes Donald Trump through its Twitter account before the end of 2025?
37% chance