When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Is slowing down AGI good for AI safety? [resolves to poll]

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

Will Manifold allow questions to be resolved by a poll of random users before 2025?

Will people indefinitely keep making polls on Manifold about when we will get "AGI" without defining it?

By when will we have AGI?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?