Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?
12
Ṁ1189
2035
25%
chance

If a major AI lab announces they have achieved AGI, a second market will be run, with the question “Is [claimed AGI] AGI by your definition?”

The second market will resolve one week after the claimed AGI becomes publicly accessible.

This market resolves to the same answer as the future market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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