The US will experience stagflation before the end of 2026.
11
Ṁ3162027
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Stagflation = 6% unemployment and 3% inflation in the same month.
Unemployment measured by https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
Inflation (CPI) measured by https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=sL9U
I will be betting YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US undergo Stagflation before the 2026 midterms?
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
US Inflation over 5% 2023-2025
7% chance
How high will US inflation be in 2025?
-
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
9% chance
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
7% chance
US financial and economic situation at end of 2025
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
32% chance
Will the US experience a recession during 2026?
35% chance
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% before it reaches 0%?
76% chance