United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
Plus
42
Ṁ11k2026
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there are two consecutive negative quarters.
https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Based on 'Third Estimate' figures.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
33% chance
Do professional economic forecasters expect a US recession (two quarters negative GDP growth) to begin in 2025?
17% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
40% chance
Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
22% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
35% chance
US Recession in 2025?
35% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
24% chance
United States Recession by End of Q2?
48% chance
Will the world experience a recession in 2025?
36% chance