US financial and economic situation at end of 2025
➕
Plus
11
Ṁ735
2026
66%
Unemployment will increase
43%
S&P 500 will decline
52%
CPI will increase
53%
Dollar will decrease
53%
10 year note yield will increase
14%
All five of the above will be true
  1. Unemployment measured by https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE. 4.1% in Dec 2024. Resolves to YES if unemployment is less than 4.1% in December 2025.

  2. S&P 500 measured by https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP. 5881.63 on December 31, 2024. Resolves to YES if S&P 500 is less than 5881.63 at December 31, 2025 close.

  3. CPI measured by https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=sL9U. 2.89569 in Dec 2024. Resolves to YES if CPI is greater than 2.89569 in Dec 2025.

  4. Dollar measured by US Dollar Index: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NYICDX:INDEXNYSEGIS?window=YTD. 108.48 on December 31, 2024. Resolves to YES if US Dollar Index is less than 108.48 on December 31, 2025.

  5. 10 year yield measured by https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y. 4.573 on December 31, 2024. Resolves to YES if 10 year yield is higher than 4.573 on December 31, 2025.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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