Conditional on who wins the democratic nomination will tumbles ever be late to pay back a loan
Plus
27
Ṁ11kJan 1
0.7%
Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late
0.3%
Biden wins the nomination tumbles is late
80%
Someone besides Biden wins the nomination tumbles is never late
19%
Someone besides Biden wins tumbles is late
Resolves based on the main markets on these two topics
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
opened a Ṁ6,969 YES at 90% order
Good market! Adding it to the Tumbles Financial Complex dashboard!
Related: /Tumbles/during-which-month-will-tumbles-be
Related: /bluefrog/depending-on-the-2024-potus-electio
Related questions
Related questions
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
20% chance
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
If @Tumbles is late to pay back a loan, will Canada enter a recession? (2024)
Depending on the POTUS election winner, will @Tumbles be late to pay back a loan (before EOY)?
During which month will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
Depending on the POTUS election winner, will @Tumbles be late to pay back a loan (before EOY)?
Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?
Will @Tumbles be late to pay back the 39k loan from Ammon?
3% chance
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
2028 Democratic nominee?