Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?
Plus
10
Ṁ7102029
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tech companies contributing to AI progress--on both the hardware and software side--are making a lot of money lately. The question is: Is it over, or just getting started?
Resolves subjectively, based on my diligent assessment of the literature on January 1, 2029. Resolves YES if I reasonably decide that we were indeed in an AI bubble at market creation, meaning AI-connected stocks are generally significantly overvalued.
If it's very unclear at the time of close, I reserve the right to extend the market until the question is sufficiently settled.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
17% chance
Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?
40% chance
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
72% chance
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
25% chance
Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?
9% chance
Will AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
43% chance
Will we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
44% chance
Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2025?
6% chance
Will any of the (in)famous AI markets resolve in favour of AI hype?
84% chance
Will over-reliance on AI predictions lead to the next major stock market crash?
10% chance