Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2025?
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45
Ṁ33162025
16%
chance
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Same as https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/are-we-about-to-hit-another-ai-wint?r=TWF4aW1lUmljaGU but about the year 2025.
Quote: """
Inspired by https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/smells-a-little-bit-like-ai-winter
Resolves extremely subjectively, based on whether it seems to me at the end of 2024 like AI progress has stalled and people have gotten much less interested in it.
"""
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