
Will there be more political self-immolations in 2025 as compared to 2024 as reported by Wikipedia?
Basic
11
Ṁ4542026
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@strutheo how would you count one Wikipedia row entry with multiple people as one or several instances? Seems like this might happen if people coordinate and do it in a group.
@HenriThunberg will count each individual as an immolation, assuming it isnt an accidental group-of-people-set-on-fire
Related questions
Related questions
Will the UK experience major riots in 2025, on a similar scale to those experienced in 2024?
37% chance
Will street protests against Trump's agenda result in at least one death in 2025?
74% chance
Will 20+ people die in anti-Trump protests in 2025?
20% chance
Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?
20% chance
How many Americans will die due to political violence in 2024?
Will more people die in wars in 2024 than in 2023?
65% chance
Will there be 5 or more assassinations/executions of heads of state/government in the 2020s?
68% chance
Will there be more than 50 deaths in political, or military conflicts in Belarus, before 2025?
18% chance
Will Matt Welch's prediction of deadly political violence in the US in 2024 hold up?
3% chance
Will there be more homicides in 2024 than in 2023?
27% chance