This is a "market for markets".
Artemis III is the only crewed Moon landing scheduled for before 2028, but there have been fears that if Starship is delayed the mission may not fly.
The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets:
1,000
3.00@calderknight asked on discord. You're right for now.
When will Manifold Markets allow users to partially resolve multiple choice markets
There is a clear arbitrage with sub-markets. I bought YES for the 2 "starship in space in 2023" here and NO for the linked market, securing 114M with 91M cost
@0482 Please do!
If your bot can also take advantage of more complex things, I'll pay a (currently fairly small) bounty for it: https://manifold.markets/EvanDaniel/arb-bots-for-confident-markets
@0482 If you do this, I will managram you 5000 from the tournament account to run the bot through December (in addition to whatever bounty you get from @EvanDaniel).
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00