Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
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It will be close. Launching by 2028, but might not make it there in time.

@MichaelM
Here are some upcoming Mars launch windows:

  • 2024: October–November,

  • 2026: November–December,
    2028/2029: December–January,


    With ~6 month travel time, 2028/9 window is certain not to reach Mars by 2028 so just one possible window. So do you believe Elon's 2026 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1832550322293837833

    The first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens. These will be uncrewed to test the reliability of landing intact on Mars. If those landings go well, then the first crewed flights to Mars will be in 4 years. Flight rate will grow exponentially from there, with the goal of building a self-sustaining city in about 20 years. Being multiplanetary will vastly increase the probable lifespan of consciousness, as we will no longer have all our eggs, literally and metabolically, on one planet.

    Sept 7 2024

Near Mars; with or without people

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