Will Donald Trump pardon Hunter Biden?
➕
Plus
36
Ṁ3790
2029
12%
chance

Background

Hunter Biden, President Joe Biden's son, faces multiple federal charges including tax-related crimes and a firearms violation. Former President Donald Trump, in recent interviews, has suggested he would be open to pardoning Hunter Biden if re-elected, despite being a political opponent of the Biden family.

Current Status

The White House has stated that President Joe Biden will not pardon his son. Trump's comments about potentially pardoning Hunter Biden came during his 2024 presidential campaign, though he has not made any firm commitments.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve as YES if Donald Trump issues a presidential pardon to Hunter Biden at any point in the future. This requires:

  • Trump must become president again

  • The pardon must be officially issued while Trump is in office

  • The pardon must specifically cover Hunter Biden

  • The pardon must be formally documented in federal records

The market will resolve as NO if:

  • Trump never becomes president again

  • Trump becomes president but does not pardon Hunter Biden during his term(s)

  • Trump only issues a commutation rather than a full pardon

Things to Consider

  • A pardon can only be issued by a sitting president

  • Presidential pardons can be issued preemptively, before any conviction

  • Trump would need to win the 2024 election (or a future election) to have the power to issue pardons

  • Hunter Biden's legal situation and charges could change before any potential pardon

  • Political considerations may influence Trump's decision differently once in office versus as a candidate

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Commend deleted

@barbarous read more, ask less :D

@DanHomerick my bad, missed that part

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