Assuming Donald Trump is sworn in as President, will he pardon Hunter Biden before January 1, 2026?
➕
Plus
37
Ṁ3116
2026
19%
chance

Will resolve YES if Hunter Biden receives a pardon from Donald Trump regarding any current criminal charges before January 1, 2026.

Will resolve N/A if Joe Biden fully pardons his son before leaving office.

Will resolve N/A if Donald Trump is not sworn in as President.

Will resolve NO if Donald Trump leaves office for any reason before January 1, 2026 and has not pardoned Hunter Biden.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ250 NO

Looks like a commutation would not count?

@MartinRandall good question

Would it?

I think if Biden commutes it should be N/A and if Trump commutes it should be yes

bought Ṁ500 NO

What in the world am I missing here? This seems like a slam dunk NO to me, but seeing that this market has moved up to 40% in the past has me questioning reality.

bought Ṁ20 YES

@Quroe hedging the Joe Biden pardon market

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules