Why is the probability going up? There's been nothing to suggest that JB is more likely than before to pardon his son, so the probability should be going down.

@nottelling2ccc Precedent for previous corrupt pardons (W Bush, Clinton, Trump) is to do them in bulk on the final day of office, so there is little time decay.

Also Trump won.

Hunter Biden laptop saga revived by Biden's Justice Department

https://www.axios.com/2024/01/17/hunter-biden-laptop-justice-department

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/hunter-biden-faces-new-indictment-california

@MickBransfield His father can not pardon him for California charges.

@BRTD fed tax charges in California federal court.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/12/07/us/hunter-biden-tax-charges.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/28/hunter-biden-willing-public-testimony/

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/joe-biden/biden-wont-pardon-son-convicted-white-house-says-rcna105351

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/06/prosecutors-will-seek-hunter-biden-indictment-before-sept-29-court-filing-says.html

Prosecutors will seek Hunter Biden indictment on gun charge before Sept. 29

Hunter Biden, the son of President Joe Biden, already has been charged with two counts of failure to pay federal income taxes.

Will Hunter Biden be pardoned by his father at any point in his father's current term?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition