Will there be a noticeable effort to increase AI transparency by 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ61Jan 1
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@Joern "noticable" means the average person is probably aware of it, but Time magazine will not have an article on it yet
Related questions
Related questions
Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
24% chance
Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before December 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M boost added]
39% chance
Will software-side AI scaling appear to be suddenly discontinuous before 2025?
18% chance
Will there be a military operation to slow down AI development by the end of 2035?
32% chance
Will OpenAI become notably less pro AI safety by start of 2025 than at the start of 2024?
79% chance
Will a major tech company announce a significant new AI regulation compliance feature by the end of 2024?
55% chance
AI honesty #3: by 2027 will we have interpretability tools for detecting when an AI is being deceptive?
62% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
28% chance
Will Australia release significant AI-related legislation/regulation by the end of 2025?
43% chance
Before 2028, will there be a major REFLECTIVELY self-improving AI policy*?
68% chance