Will there be a new country before 2028?
➕
Plus
100
Ṁ4270
2028
77%
chance

The country must be internationally recognized

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

what do you mean "internationally"?
Is one other recognizing country enough?

Yes, and it's name will be California

predictedYES

@Conflux Unless I'm missing something, the Bougainville market should be trading below this one.

Is there a minimum threshold for how many countries must recognize it?

@JimHays I'd say at least 5-10 UN countries or if one of the five countries on the permanent council recognize them (United States, France, United Kingdom, China, Russia). But in all honesty there is probably a better way to decide what counts.

@Wobbles Russia recognizes a lot of non-countries e.g. Abkhazia.

@xyz hmm that's true

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules