Will a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028?
Will a 51st state be added to the USA before the end of 2028?
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The last states admitted were Alaska and Hawaii in 1959
This market will resolve YES if a 51st state is officially admitted to the Union before December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. This requires:
Passage of an admission act by Congress
Presidential signature (or congressional override of a veto)
Completion of any conditions set forth in the admission act
Official proclamation of statehood
The market will resolve NO if no new state is admitted by the deadline.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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