When will the US H5N1 human case count surpass 100? | Manifold

When will the US H5N1 human case count surpass 100?

Plus

19

Ṁ6420

Feb 2

1D

1W

1M

ALL

10%

Before December 1st, 2024

89%

Before February 1st, 2025

Resolved

NO

Before August 1st, 2024

Resolved

NO

Before October 1st, 2024

I will resolve this question based on the official CDC case count.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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1,000

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bought Ṁ100 NO

October resolves NO.

bought Ṁ50 NO

The CDC reports 13 cases so far this year: https://www.cdc.gov/bird-flu/situation-summary/index.html

bought Ṁ250 NO

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Now up to 55 cases.

Are you measuring the count just from 2024, or also including previous years?

Just from 2024. There was only one other US case previously over the past couple of years.

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