Will any country in the world have brain preservation as part of its healthcare system by 2040?
Will any country in the world have brain preservation as part of its healthcare system by 2040?
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Ṁ862040
26%
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Market resolves to YES if any country in the world has performed at least one cryonics, plastination, or other kind of physical brain preservation procedure as part of its universal healthcare program, according to the Associated Press, Reuters, AFP or another similarly credible source.
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Betting YES only because this is implicitly conditional on there not being FOOM by 2040, and thus there being a much more adequate civilization by this date.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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