Resolves as YES if at least 100 adult humans have been successfully revived from 1-year cryopreservation before January 1st 2040.

Questions with the same criteria:

Will we get cryopreservation before 2036?5%‌

Will we get cryopreservation before 2037?5%‌

Will we get cryopreservation before 2038?6%‌

Will we get cryopreservation before 2039?9%‌

Will we get cryopreservation before 2040?17%‌ (this question)

Will we get cryopreservation before 2041?49%‌

Will we get cryopreservation before 2042?39%‌

In the context of this question, cryopreservation is defined as cooling below at least -10 degrees centigrade. In order to qualify as a "successful revival from cryopreservation", at least the brain of the individual must have been continuously cooled below -10C for a duration of at least 12 months and subsequently returned to normal function for a period of at least 3 months.

The cryopreservation of other organs of the body is not a requirement for this market. A return to normal function, however, must occur within a body broadly similar to the original (e.g. original cryopreserved/revived body, replacement biological body, replacement robotic body, ...).