Will Super Intelligence happen in China first?
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I am making this market vague on purpose
I will resolve YES only if one can comfortably argue super intelligence appeared in China 6 months earlier than in everywhere else on earth. Otherwise NO (say simultaneous)
One way to interpret is China will have dramatic lead over everyone else combined near the singular point. The gap has to be large enough to have a visible political/economic/social impact.
Resolve when we get ASI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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