Will China get AGI first?
Plus
11
Ṁ8942050
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if the Chinese government or any entity primarily affiliated with China achieves AGI first.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2026?
14% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
Will an AI Lab in China build AGI before 2030?
55% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
15% chance
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
By when will we have AGI?
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)
78% chance