
Which company will create AGI first?
Plus
61
Ṁ36152036
16%
US Government
13%
OpenAI
12%
Anthropic
11%
DeepMind
9%
DeepSeek
9%
Communist Party of China
8%
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
7%
6%
Meta
5%
people not employed by a company
4%
xAI
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2026?
5% chance
Will China get AGI first?
26% chance
Will we get AGI before 2047?
83% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
57% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2031?
62% chance
Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2041?
81% chance
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?