Which company will create AGI first?
Plus
58
Ṁ32972036
28%
OpenAI
18%
DeepMind
12%
US Government
8%
Anthropic
7%
xAI
7%
7%
Communist Party of China
7%
people not employed by a company
3%
Meta
2%
Safe Superintelligence (SSI)
If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P
Related questions
Related questions
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2028?
32% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
44% chance
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
Will we get AGI before 2030?
55% chance
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Will AGI come from a company who's primary product involves selling a model over an API?
56% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
28% chance
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
When will the first AGI company get nationalized?