Who will run for President of the United States in 2028?
Basic
18
Ṁ5252028
92%
JD Vance
90%
Tulsi Gabbard
73%
Josh Shapiro
70%
Gavin Newsom
66%
Pete Buttigieg
60%
Ron DeSantis
50%
JB Pritzker
36%
Stephen A. Smith
30%
Gretchen Whitmer
27%
Mark Milley
24%
Kamala Harris
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy. (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)
All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed. Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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