Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Basic
17
Ṁ18762028
28%
JD Vance
25%
6%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Gavin Newsom
4%
Donald Trump
3%
Other candidate with Trump as their last name
3%
Michelle Obama
3%
Nikki Haley
2%
AOC
1.8%
Ron DeSantis
1.7%
Elizabeth Warren
1.4%
Ivanka Trump
1.1%
Joe Biden
1.1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1.1%
Chris Christie
1.1%
Other Democrat Politician
1.1%
Other Republican Politician
1.1%
Hillary Clinton
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Anyone that adds a new candidate and bets for them will get a Ṁ10 subsidy for their contribution of new information and potentially new candidates.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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