There will be one LLM/AI that is at least 10x better than all others in 2027 | Manifold

There will be one LLM/AI that is at least 10x better than all others in 2027

Plus

11

Ṁ379

2027

17%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

I'd like a little expansion on judging criteria for this one, even if it's just a general approach rather than a specific benchmark

How is this measured? How better e.g. Is GPT-4 from GPT-3.5?

Related questions

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

In Jan 2027, will the top 3 leading AI labs be offering fewer than 15 flagship LLMs between them?

Which AI companies will release a SoTA LLM on AidanBench in 2025?

Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?

Which AI companies will release a top-scoring LLM on the Scale AI Coding benchmark in 2025?

Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026

What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?

Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?

China will make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025

Will there exist an LLM which can beat the latest version of AlphaZero by EOY 2024?

Related questions

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026

In Jan 2027, will the top 3 leading AI labs be offering fewer than 15 flagship LLMs between them?

What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?

Which AI companies will release a SoTA LLM on AidanBench in 2025?

Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?

Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?

China will make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025

Which AI companies will release a top-scoring LLM on the Scale AI Coding benchmark in 2025?

Will there exist an LLM which can beat the latest version of AlphaZero by EOY 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules