
US Recession before 2024? (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Basic
8
Ṁ140Nov 4
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
5% chance
US Recession before 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
51% chance
US enter a recession in 2024? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
1% chance
If there's a recession before election day 2024, will a Democrat win the presidential election?
2% chance
Is Donald Trump more likely to win the presidential election if the US enters a recession by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will the US economy have a recession [two quarters of negative GDP growth] in 2024?
5% chance
Will US avoid a recession in 2024?
98% chance
If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
61% chance
Was the US already in a recession in July 2024?
2% chance
Which party will win the Presidency? Will there be a US recession between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive)?