US Recession before 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Plus
22
Ṁ9002026
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
60% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2024?
8% chance
US Recession before 2024? (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
39% chance
If there's a recession before election day 2024, will a Democrat win the presidential election?
36% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? (RW version)
1% chance
Will US avoid a recession in 2024?
85% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
56% chance
Recession in 2024?
5% chance
US Recession in 2025?
32% chance
Will the US economy have a recession [two quarters of negative GDP growth] in 2024?
5% chance