What will happen before GPT 5 or GPT 4.5 is released to the public [ADD RESPONSES] | Manifold

What will happen before GPT 5 or GPT 4.5 is released to the public [ADD RESPONSES]

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29

Ṁ4741

Jan 1

98.5%

Jimmy Carter dies

84%

An 8.0 magnitude earthquake anywhere on earth

43%

Israel Hamas Ceasefire

5%

Microsoft declare bankruptcy

5%

Weak AGI is achieved as decided by metaculus

Resolved

YES

BTC hits 100k

Resolved

YES

SORA is released to the public

Resolved

YES

Trumps VP is announced

Resolved

YES

TikTok bill is passed by the senate

What will happen before GPT 4.5 or GPT 5 is released to the public.

Please add answers I will extend the market if necessary

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#GPT-5 Speculation

#GPT-4 speculation

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Sora was already released right?

bought Ṁ57 YES

Yup! @mods Can you resolve?

@mods Creator is semi-inactive and asks mods to resolve his markets on his profile. Resolves YES.

@JamesF Resolves YES.

@JamesF Does the model have to be called 4.5 or 5 exactly?

Yeah

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When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)

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Will it be revealed that GPT-5 was used for how GPT-5 will be released?

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