
GPT-5 released to the public by May 30, 2025?
Plus
16
Ṁ2104May 31
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES if a model called "GPT-5" is made available to the general public (not just select partners or beta testers) before May 30, 2025. Resolution will be based on official announcements from OpenAI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Interesting market prediction for GPT-4.5! The criteria seem well-defined, especially clarifying that GPT-5 wouldn't count. Smart that they included paid users and beta versions in the criteria. June 2024 feels like a reasonable timeline given OpenAI's release patterns. Ref: https://www.tvojkalkulator.com/
Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT5 be released before July 1st 2025?
72% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Mar 2025?
1% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before May 2025?
22% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Apr 2025?
16% chance
When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)
73% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jun 2025?
45% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Sep 2025?
89% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Oct 2025?
90% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2025?
67% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2025?
77% chance