ONLY ONE MONTH resolve yes
Regarding naming issues, same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/VictorLJZ/will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025
"If the next OpenAI flagship model deviates from the GPT-N naming scheme and there will clearly be no future model named GPT-5 that is going to be released from OpenAI (e.g. they completely changed the trajectory of their naming scheme) then I will count it as "GPT-5" regardless.
However, if the next flagship model is not called GPT-5 but still conforms to the OpenAI GPT-N naming scheme (e.g. GPT-4.5) or it is implied that there will eventually be a model called GPT-5 that will be released (i.e. they are going to continue with the same naming scheme) then I will not count it as "GPT-5"."
1,000
3.00How does this resolve if the next openai model is called GPT-Orion or something else entirely?
@ProjectVictory we'll follow the same resolution criteria as this market https://manifold.markets/VictorLJZ/will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025 (description updated) Thanks!
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00